Lekic, Osasuna sink Barcelona
Soccer Betting Lines
02/11/2012 -
Navarra, Spain (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Barcelona's title ambitions took a massive
hit on Saturday as Dejan Lekic scored a first-half brace to help Osasuna stun
the defending champions, 3-2, at the Estadio El Sadar.
Lekic provided an early blow to the visitors when he scored in the fourth
minute, while the advantage was doubled in the 21st when Lekic got on the
other end of a low cross from Alvaro Cejudo to finish off the play at close
range.
Barca found a way back into the match early in the second half with Isaac
Cuenca's cross being converted from a few yards out by Alexis Sanchez, only
for the hosts to restore their two-goal lead five minutes later with Raul
Garcia knocking a shot off the near post and into the net.
Cristian Tello came off the bench to pull a goal back for Barca in the 73rd
with a fine left-footed strike from inside the penalty area, but Osasuna
continued to threaten as Francisco Punal struck the post.
The visitors poured on the pressure over the final 15 minutes, and after
Sanchez had a goal ruled out for offsides, the Chile international was denied
by a good save from Osasuna goalkeeper Andres Fernandez.
Barca's final chance to claim a point came deep into stoppage time when a
header from Cesc Fabregas was saved by Fernandez from eight yards.
Pep Guardiola's men are now seven points back of leaders Real Madrid, who can
move 10 points clear with a win on Sunday at home against Levante.
Real Betis 2, Athletic Bilbao 1
Seville, Spain - Real Betis moved three points above the drop zone on Saturday
as Nelson's stoppage-time goal handed the home side a 2-1 win over Athletic
Bilbao.
Ruben Castro fired Betis in front in the opening 10 minutes when he curled a
shot inside the far post from 10 yards, only for Javi Martinez to cancel out
the tally 12 minutes later with a headed goal from a corner kick for Athletic.
But Martinez received his second yellow card in the 63rd, and Nelson snatched
all three points for his side with a well-struck volley from the edge of the
penalty area to help Betis snap a run of three losses in four games.
Racing 0, Atletico Madrid 0
Santander, Spain - Atletico Madrid was held to a second successive 0-0 draw on
Saturday, this time at Racing.
The visitors dominated play for long spells, especially in the second half,
but were unlucky not to leave El Sardinero with three points.
Atletico was especially in control in the second half as Diego struck the post
after exchanging passes with Arda Turan, while Radamel Falcao also wasted a
great opportunity as he shot the ball against the post after collecting a
rebound from Diego's shot.
A win could have temporarily lifted Atletico into the top four, but the club
will have to settle for extending its unbeaten streak to six games.
<< Marquette handles Cincinnati
Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Darius Johnson-Odom and Jae Crowder each
scored 23 points, as the 18th-ranked Marquette Golden Eagles dominated the
Cincinnati Bearcats, 95-78.
Jamil Wilson and Vander Blue added 15 and 14 points
<< Wojta powers Green Bay past Wright State
Green Bay, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Julie Wojta may only be six feet tall, but
she stood head and shoulders above Wright State on Saturday.
The undersized forward scored 30 points, pulled down 20 rebounds, blocked four
shots and added eight
<< Senior joins Pavin in the lead in Boca Raton
Boca Raton, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Peter Senior birdied the final hole Saturday
to join Corey Pavin atop the leaderboard after two rounds of the Allianz
Championship.
Senior carded a four-under 68 in round two, while Pavin managed a two-under
<< Hall lifts Oilers over Senators in OT
Ottawa, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Taylor Hall scored 17 seconds into overtime to
lift the Edmonton Oilers to a 4-3 win over the Ottawa Senators on Saturday.
Magnus Paajarvi, Ben Eager and Shawn Horcoff also scored for the Oilers and
Horcoff
<< Milan rallies to down Udinese
Udine, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - AC Milan scored twice in the final 15 minutes
to claim a 2-1 comeback win at Udinese on Saturday, moving the Rossoneri two
points clear of Juventus at the top of Serie A.
Antonio Di Natale fired Udinese i
No. 7 Kansas dominates Oklahoma State >>
Lawrence, KS (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Thomas Robinson had 26 points and 14 rebounds,
helping the seventh-ranked Kansas Jayhawks dominate the Oklahoma State
Cowboys, 81-66.
Jeff Withey also had a double-double with 18 points and 19 boa
Thunder Moccasin strikes in Hutcheson Stakes >>
Hallandale Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Odds-on favorite Thunder Moccasin had
a successful three-year-old debut Saturday in the $150,000 Hutcheson Stakes at
Gulfstream Park. The colt covered the seven-furlongs in 1:24.16 on a track
listed
UNLV holds off San Diego State >>
Las Vegas, NV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Justin Hawkins forced a turnover with one
second remaining and UNLV preserved a 13-point second-half edge as they held
off San Diego State, 65-63, at Thomas & Mack Center.
Mike Moser led the way w
Tennessee knocks off No. 8 Florida >>
Gainesville, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Trae Golden had 17 points to go with seven
assists as the Tennessee Volunteers earned their first true road win of the
season with a 75-70 triumph over No. 8 Florida.
Jeronne Maymon recorded a double-
Morgan's late heroics lift U.S. past New Zealand >>
Frisco, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Alex Morgan scored twice in the final minutes to
cap a 2-1 comeback win for the U.S. women's national team against New Zealand
in a friendly on Saturday.
The Americans dominated play in the first half but were
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
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